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The Potential Pitfalls of Basing Your
Investment Decisions on Yesterday's Winners

A portfolio comprised of all 5 star funds at the end of 1999, as represented in the Morningstar System, would have returned -15.72% over the next 12 months! The same portfolio made up of all 1 star funds in the Morningstar System would have gained 6.87%!

Investment Performance vs. Investor Performance

   

From 1986 through 2005 the S&P 500 Index averaged 11.9% per year. During the same 20-year period, the average equity mutual fund investor averaged 3.9%. Why?

At CGF, we attribute this to:

  • Investors frequently buy and sell at sub-optimal times
  • Investors' portfolios are not aligned with their risk tolerance
  • Investors are attracted to yesterdays winners

*SOURCE: Dalbar, Inc. Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior - 2005. Represents average annually compounded returns of equity indices vs. equity mutual fund investors; based on the length of time shareholders actually remain invested in a fund and the historic performance of the funds appropriate index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investors cannot invest directly in an index.


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© 2007 Claremont Financial Group, Inc. Registered Investment Adviser.
245 Fischer, A-4, Costa Mesa, CA 92626 email:
cfg@claremontfinancial.com